Report: Google Had $12 Billion In Mobile Search Revenue, 75 Percent From iOS

Report: Google Had $12 Billion In Mobile Search Revenue, 75 Percent From iOS

Yesterday the New York Times writer Farhad Manjoo exposed part of a Goldman Sachs report about Google in which the firm estimated that roughly 75 percent of Google’s mobile search revenue was generated by users of iPhones and iPads.

While not necessarily shocking, this was a big surprise given Android’s market-share dominance. It generated a huge amount of buzz and secondary coverage online. We subsequently obtained a copy of the report from Manjoo.

Overall Goldman says that for 2014 Google had roughly $12 billion ($11.8 billion) in mobile search revenue (as opposed to mobile advertising broadly). Of that roughly $8.8 billion was attributed to iOS devices and roughly half of that, or $4.4 billion, directly to Google’s “default search” deal with Apple for Safari.

Google reported roughly $59 billion in advertising revenue for 2014, in its 10-K filing. According to the Goldman analysis, 20 percent of Google’s revenue is coming from mobile search ads. However Google said recently that more than 50 percent of overall search volume in the US now comes from mobile devices. So there’s a meaningful gap between traffic and revenue for the company.

Goldman further estimated, based on an analysis of “Google’s major distribution deals,” that the company pays Apple $2.9 billion of that $4.4 billion in TAC. An earlier 2013 Morgan Stanley estimate put the Safari TAC at more than $1 billion. However as mobile search revenues have grown so would the payment to Apple as a percentage of search revenue.

These calculations  were based on several data sources and a consumer survey conducted by Goldman in which it was found that “~52 percent of iOS search queries originate at the default bar which is the portion of iOS revenues Google in TAC to Apple.” Read the rest here.

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